Psi Performance as a Function of Demographic and Personality Factors in Smartphone-Based Tests

Using a “SEARCH” Approach

Authors

  • Julia Mossbridge The Institute for Love and Time
  • Dean Radin

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31156/jaex.23419

Keywords:

precognition, psychokinesis, micro-pk, remote viewing, psychic abilities, anomalous information reception, parapsychology, anomalous cognition, psi

Abstract

Objective: We set out to gain a better understanding of human psychic or “psi” functioning by using a smartphone-based app to gather data from thousands of participants. Our expectations were that psi performance would often be revealed to be in the direction opposite to the participants’ conscious intentions (“expectation-opposing”; previously called “psi-missing”), and that gender and psi belief would be related to performance. Method:We created and launched three iOS-based tasks, available from 2017 to 2020, related to micro-psychokinesis (the ability to mentally influence a random number generator) and precognition (the ability to predict future randomly selected events). We statistically analyzed data from more than 2,613 unique logins and 995,995 contributed trials using null hypothesis significance testing as well as a pre-registered confirmatory analysis. Results: Our expectations were confirmed, and we discovered additional effects post-hoc. Our key findings were: 1) significant expectation-opposing effects, with a confirmatory pre-registered replication of a clear expectation-opposing effect on a micro-pk task,  2) performance correlated with psi belief on all three tasks, 3) performance on two of the three tasks related to gender, 4) men and women apparently used different strategies to perform micro-pk and precognition tasks. Conclusions: We describe our recommendations for future attempts to better understand performance on forced-choice psi tasks. The mnemonic for this strategy is SEARCH: Small effects, Early and exploratory, Accrue data, Recognize diversity in approach, Characterize rather than impose, and Hone in on big results.

References

Atmanspacher, H., & Filk, T. (2012). Contra classical causality violating temporal bell inequalities in mental systems. Journal of Consciousness Studies, 19, 95–116.

Banse, R. (2001). Affective priming with liked and disliked persons: Prime visibility determines congruency and incongruency effects. Cognition & Emotion, 15(4), 501-520. Doi: 10.1080/02699930126251

Barke, A., Stahl, J., & Kröner-Herwig, B. (2012). Identifying a subset of fear-evoking pictures from the IAPS on the basis of dimensional and categorical ratings for a German sample. Journal of Behavior Therapy and Experimental Psychiatry, 43(1), 565-572. Doi: 10.1016/j.jbtep.2011.07.006

Barušs, I. & Mossbridge, J. A. (2016). Transcendent mind: Rethinking the science of consciousness. American Psychological Association. Doi: 10.1037/15957-009

Bem D., Tressoldi P., Rabeyron T., & Duggan M. (2015). Feeling the future: A meta-analysis of 90 experiments on the anomalous anticipation of random future events. F1000Res, 4:1188. Doi: 10.12688/f1000research.7177.2

Bem, D. J. (2011). Feeling the future: experimental evidence for anomalous retroactive influences on cognition and affect. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 100(3), 407-425. Doi: 10.1037/a0021524

Bierman, D., & Scholte, H. (2002). A fMRI brain imaging study of presentiment. Journal of the International Society of Life Information Sciences, 20(2), 380–388.

Braud, W. G. (1989). Meditation and psychokinesis. Parapsychology Review, 20, 9-11.

Braud, W. G. (2002). Psi-favorable conditions. In V. G. Rammohan (Ed.), New frontiers of human science: A festschrift for K. Ramakrishna (pp. 95–118). McFarland.

Calude, C. S., & Longo, G. (2017). The deluge of spurious correlations in big data. Foundations of Science, 22(3), 595-612. Doi: 10.1007/s10699-016-9489-4

Cardeña, E. (2018). The experimental evidence for parapsychological phenomena: A review. American Psychologist, 73(5), 663–677. Doi: 10.1037/amp0000236

Cieslarová, R. (2018). Analysis of the Linux random number generator in virtualized environment. Masaryk University Faculty of Informatics.

Dechamps, M. (2019). Mind-matter interactions and their reproducibility (Doctoral dissertation, Ludwig Maximilians University, Munich).

Franklin, M. S., Baumgart, S. L., & Schooler, J. W. (2014). Future directions in precognition research: more research can bridge the gap between skeptics and proponents. Frontiers in Psychology, 5, 907. Doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2014.00907

Freedman, M., Binns, M., Gao, F., Holmes, M., Roseborough, A., Strother, S., ... & Black, S. E. (2018). Mind–matter interactions and the frontal lobes of the brain: A novel neurobiological model of psi inhibition. Explore, 14(1), 76-85. Doi: 10.1016/j.explore.2017.08.003

Gandomi, A., & Haider, M. (2015). Beyond the hype: Big data concepts, methods, and analytics. International Journal of Information Management, 35(2), 137-144. Doi: 10.1016/j.ijinfomgt.2014.10.007

Glaser, J., & Kihlstrom, J. F. (2005). Compensatory automaticity: Unconscious volition is not an oxymoron. In R. R. Hasssin, J. S. Uleman, & J. A. Bargh (Eds.), The new unconsciousness. Oxford University Press. Doi: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195307696.003.0008

Gohier, B., Senior, C., Brittain, P. J., Lounes, N., El-Hage, W., Law, V., ... & Surguladze, S. A. (2013). Gender differences in the sensitivity to negative stimuli: Cross-modal affective priming study. European Psychiatry, 28(2), 74-80. Doi: 10.1016/j.eurpsy.2011.06.007

Gosling, S. D., Rentfrow, P. J., & Swann Jr, W. B. (2003). A very brief measure of the Big-Five personality domains. Journal of Research in Personality, 37(6), 504-528. Doi: 10.1016/s0092-6566(03)00046-1

Hermans, D., Spruyt, A., De Houwer, J., & Eelen, P. (2003). Affective priming with subliminally presented pictures. Canadian Journal of Experimental Psychology, 57, 97–114. Doi: 10.1037/h0087416

Hitchman, G. A., Roe, C. A., & Sherwood, S. J. (2012). A reexamination of nonintentional precognition with openness to experience, creativity, psi beliefs, and luck beliefs as predictors of success. Journal of Parapsychology, 76(1), 109-145.

Honorton, C., Ferrari, D. G. & Bem, D. J. (1998). Extraversion and ESP performance: A meta-analysis and a new confirmation. Journal of Parapsychology, 62(3), 255-276.

Jahn, R. G., Dunne, B. J., Nelson, R. D., Dobyns, Y. H., & Bradish, G. J. (1997). Correlations of random binary sequences with pre-stated operator intention: A review of a 12-year program. Journal of Scientific Exploration, 11(3), 345– 367.Doi: 10.1016/j.explore.2007.03.009

Karni, A., & Bertini, G. (1997). Learning perceptual skills: behavioral probes into adult cortical plasticity. Current Opinion in Neurobiology, 7(4), 530-535. Doi: 10.1016/s0959-4388(97)80033-5

Kennedy, J. E. (2003). The capricious, actively evasive, unsustainable nature of psi: A summary and hypotheses. Journal of Parapsychology, 67(1), 53-74.

Lang, P. J., Bradley, M. M., & Cuthbert, B. N. (1997). International affective picture system (IAPS): Technical manual and affective ratings. NIMH Center for the Study of Emotion Doi: 10.1037/t66667-000

Lawrence, T. R. (1993). Gathering in the sheep and goats: A meta-analysis of forced-choice sheep-goat ESP studies, 1947–1993. Proceedings of Presented Papers: The Parapsychological Association 36th Annual Convention, 75–86.

Lobach, E. (2009). Presentiment research: Past, present and future. In C. A. Roe, L. Coly, & W. Kramer (Eds) Utrecht II: Charting the future of parapsychology (pp. 22-45). Parapsychology Foundation.

Maier, M. A., Buechner, V. L., Dechamps, M. C., Pflitsch, M., Kurzrock, W., Tressoldi, P., ... & Martsinkovskaja, T. (2020). A preregistered multi-lab replication of Maier et al.(2014, Exp. 4) testing retroactive avoidance. PloS One, 15(8), e0238373. Doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0238373

Maier, M. A., Dechamps, M. C., & Pflitsch, M. (2018). Intentional observer effects on quantum randomness: A Bayesian analysis reveals evidence against micro-psychokinesis. Frontiers in Psychology, 9, 379. Doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2018.00379

Marcusson-Clavertz, D. & Cardeña, E., (2011). Hypnotizability, alterations in consciousness, and other variables as predictors of performance in a ganzfeld psi task. Journal of Parapsychology, 75(2), 235-259.

McCrae, R. R., & John, O. P. (1992). An introduction to the five‐factor model and its applications. Journal of Personality, 60(2), 175-215.

Mossbridge, J. A., Fitzgerald, M. B., O'Connor, E. S., & Wright, B. A. (2006). Perceptual-learning evidence for separate processing of asynchrony and order tasks. Journal of Neuroscience, 26(49), 12708-12716. Doi: 10.1523/jneurosci.2254-06.2006

Mossbridge, J., Grabowekcy M.F., & Suzuki S. (2009). Evidence for subconscious but not conscious psi in remote stare detection and precognition tasks. Proceedings of the Parapsychological Association, 52nd Meeting, 13-14.

Mossbridge, J., & Radin, D. (2020). Three confirmatory analyses of precognition and micro-pk data gathered using online methods. http://www.koestler-parapsychology.psy.ed.ac.uk/ Documents/KPU_Registry_1056.pdf (retrieved 3/8/21).

Mossbridge, J. (2017). Examining the nature of retrocausal effects in biology and psychology. AIP Conference Proceedings 1841, 030004. Doi: 10.1063/1.4982775

Mossbridge, J. A., & Radin, D. (2018a). Precognition as a form of prospection: A review of the evidence. Psychology of Consciousness: Theory, Research, and Practice, 5(1), 78. Doi: 10.1037/cns0000121

Mossbridge, J. A., & Radin, D. (2018b). Plausibility, statistical interpretations, physical mechanisms and a new outlook: Response to commentaries on a precognition review. Psychology of Consciousness: Theory, Research, and Practice, 5(1), 110-116. Doi: 10.1037/cns0000152

Mossbridge, J., Tressoldi, P. E., & Utts, J. (2012). Predictive physiological anticipation preceding seemingly unpredictable stimuli: A meta-analysis. Frontiers in Psychology, 3, 390. Doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2012.00390

Mossbridge, J. A., Nisam, M., & Crabtree, A. (2021). Can hypnotic suggestion induce feelings of unconditional love and supernormal performance?. Spirituality in Clinical Practice, 81(1), 30-50. Doi: 10.1037/scp0000239

Mossbridge, J.A., Boccuzzi, M., Nisam, M., & Crabtree, A. (2019). Screening for precognition, remote viewing and micro-psychokinetic skills: Results and lessons from online psi-testing methods. Presented at the 38th Annual Meeting of the Society for Scientific Exploration. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9imsfGdEnWo [Retrieved 8/2/21].

Palmer, J. (1971). Scoring in ESP tests as a function of ESP. Part 1: The sheep-goat effect. Journal of the American Society for Psychical Research, 65, 373–408.

Palmer, J., & Carpenter, J.C. (1998). Comments on the extraversion-ESP meta-analysis by Honorton, Ferrari and Bem. Journal of Parapsychology, 62(3), 277-282.

Rabeyron, T. (2020). Why most research findings about psi are false: The replicability crisis, the psi paradox and the myth of Sisyphus. Frontiers in Psychology, 11, 2468. Doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2020.562992

Radin, D. I. (1989). Searching for "signatures" in anomalous human-machine interaction data: A neural network approach. Journal of Scientific Exploration, 3(2), 185-200.

Radin, D. (2019). Tricking the trickster: Evidence for predicted sequential structure in a 19-year online psi experiment. Journal of Scientific Exploration, 33(4), 549-568. Doi: 10.31275/2019/1429

Radin, D., & Lobach, E. (2007). Toward understanding the placebo effect: Investigating a possible retrocausal factor. Journal of Alternative and Complementary Medicine, 13, 733–739. Doi: 10.1089/acm.2006.6243

Roney-Dougal, S. M., & Solfvin, J. (2011). Exploring the relationship between Tibetan meditation attainment and precognition. Journal of Scientific Exploration, 25(1), 29-46.

Roney-Dougal, S. M., Solfvin, J., & Fox, J. (2008). An exploration of degree of meditation attainment in relation to psychic awareness with Tibetan Buddhists. Journal of Scientific Exploration, 22(2), 161-78.

Silberstein, R., Camfield, D. A., Nield, G., & Stough, C. (2019). Gender differences in parieto‐frontal brain functional connectivity correlates of creativity. Brain and behavior, 9(2), e01196. Doi: 10.1002/brb3.1196

Storm, L., & Tressoldi, P. E. (2017). Gathering in more sheep and goats: A meta-analysis of forced-choice sheep-goat ESP studies, 1994-2015. Journal of the Society for Psychical Research, 81(2), 79-107.

Tupes, E. C., & Christal, R. E. (1961). Recurrent personality factors based on trait ratings (No. ASD-TR-61-97). Personnel Research Lab. Doi: 10.21236/ad0267778

Utts, J. (1995). An assessment of the evidence for psychic functioning. Journal of Parapsychology, 59, 289-320.

Varvoglis, M., & Bancel, P. A. (2015). Micro-psychokinesis. In E. Cardeña, J. Palmer & D. Marcussen-Clavertz, (Eds.), Parapsychology: A handbook for the 21st century (pp. 266-281). McFarland.

Varvoglis, M., & Bancel, P. A. (2016). Micro-psychokinesis: Exceptional or universal? Journal of Parapsychology, 80(1), 37-44.

Voris, J., Saxena, N., & Halevi, T. (2011). Accelerometers and randomness: Perfect together. Proceedings of the fourth ACM conference on Wireless network security,115-126. Doi: 10.1145/1998412.1998433

Walsh, K., & Moddel, G. (2007). Effect of belief on psi performance on a card guessing task. Journal of Scientific Exploration, 21(3), 501-510.

Wiseman, R., & Watt, C. (2004). Measuring superstitious belief: Why lucky charms matter. Personality and Individual Differences, 37(8), 1533-1541. Doi: 10.1016/j.paid.2004.02.009

Wittmann M, Scheck F, Feldmann J, Glaesmann A, Mossbridge J, & Bem D (in press). The German version of a retroactive priming task shows mixed effects. Psychology of Consciousness: Theory, Research, and Practice. Doi:10.1037/cns0000296

Wolfradt, U. (1997). Dissociative experiences, trait anxiety and paranormal beliefs. Personality and Individual Differences, 23(1), 15-19. Doi: 10.1016/s0191-8869(97)00043-3

Zdrenka, M., & Wilson, M. S. (2017). Individual difference correlates of psi performance in forced-choice precognition experiments: A meta-analysis (1945-2016). Journal of Parapsychology, 81(1), 9-32.

Downloads

Published

2021-10-28

How to Cite

Mossbridge, J., & Radin, D. (2021). Psi Performance as a Function of Demographic and Personality Factors in Smartphone-Based Tests: Using a “SEARCH” Approach. Journal of Anomalous Experience and Cognition, 1(1-2), 78–113. https://doi.org/10.31156/jaex.23419

Issue

Section

Research articles